On Saturday afternoon at Tuscaloosa, Alabama there will be plenty of history and memories for fans and gamblers as the Alabama Crimson Tide hosts the Texas A&M Aggies. The Late Great legendary Hall of Fame coach Paul “Bear” Bryant is the reason why. Bryant coached the famed “Junction Boys” of Texas A&M from 1954 through 1957. Of course, that team survived one of the most brutal preseason training camps in football history. But those who made it through the torture became winners and legends. Following his success at Texas A&M, the Bear went on to Alabama where he made his fame, fortune, and Hall of Fame career. This historic connection to Bryant has made for a special rivalry between the Aggies and Crimson Tide.
Alabama Crimson Tide at Texas A&M Aggies
When: Saturday, October 3, 2020, 3:30 p.m. ET
Where: Bryant Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Bookmaker Odds: Texas A&M Aggies +17 vs. Alabama Crimson Tide -17, over under 53.5
Texas A&M Aggies at Alabama Crimson Tide Bookmaker Wagering Analysis
For this matchup Alabama will draw most of the public CFB wagering action. Texas A&M was terrible last week as a home overlay to Vanderbilt. Most important of all Alabama is the most respected brand on the college football board.
Were Aggies Peaking Ahead to Bama?
Last week Texas A&M was a 31.5-point home favorite against Vanderbilt but the expected blowout never took place. Instead Texas A&M won 17-12 in a maddening performance. Overall, the Aggies outgained Vanderbilt 376-255 but committed three turnovers and ten penalties. Texas A&M quarterback Kellen Mond had a lackluster CFB betting performance going 17 of 28 for 189 yards passing with a touchdown. Running back Isaiah Spiller ran for 117 yards on eight carries as top offensive player.
Tide Leaves Backdoor Unlocked
Last week the Crimson Tide entered Missouri as 28.5-point favorites and won 38-19 but let the Tigers sneak through the back door as the game went over the total of 55.5. Alabama jumped out to a 35-3 lead before coach Nick Saban took his foot off the gas much to the anger of gamblers. Junior quarterback Mac Jones was 18 of 24 for 249 yards and two touchdowns with a rating of 189.7. While senior running back Najee Harris had 17 carries for 98 yards and three touchdowns. The defensive star was junior defensive back Daniel Wright with 11 tackles.
Texas A&M Aggies at Alabama Crimson Tide Against the Spread
In October home games Alabama is 4-2 against the spread as nine of their last ten in that role went over the total. As home favorites the Crimson Tide is 6-4 on the board with seven of their last eight as home favorites going over. The Crimson Tide is 5-4 vs. the odds in SEC home games. Four of their last six in that situation stayed under the total.
Texas A&M is 6-4 against the line in SEC away games as five of their last six SEC road tilts stayed under. The Aggies are 3-1 vs. the line in October road action with eight of their last nine October road tilts going over. As road dogs the Aggies are 6-5 on the board as four of their last five as road pups went under the total.
The Aggies have covered two of their last three against Alabama as the last two meetings cleared the total. At home the Crimson Tide covered two of their last three with A&M as three of the last four in this series at Alabama went under.
Texas A&M Aggies at Alabama Crimson Tide Bookmaker Free Pick
In this situation Texas A&M makes for a strong contrarian play. The Aggies were likely peaking ahead to this CFB odds showdown. Further, a play on A&M fades the public as Alabama will draw serious casual money.
Aggies at Crimson Tide Bookmaker Best Bet: Texas A&M Aggies
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