Rose Namajunas is favored against Jessica Andrade at UFC 251 on UFC Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The event will take place on Sunday, July 12, but because of the time difference, it will start on Saturday night, Eastern Time. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Andrade is 20-7 in her career, while Namajunas is 8-4 in her career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card at UFC 251, with the headliner a bout between Kamaru Usman and Jorge Masvidal. There are also a total of eight fights on the preliminary card, with five on ESPN/ESPN+ and three on UFC Fight Pass/ESPN/ESPN+. Let’s look at the bout between Andrade and Namajunas and UFC picks.
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
Jessica Andrade (20-7, 11-5 UFC)
Andrade came into the UFC with a record of 9-2 and she has 11 wins and five losses in the UFC. In her last five fights, she has four wins and one loss. She defeated Cláudia Gadelha by unanimous decision, Tecia Torres by unanimous decision, Karolina Kowalkiewicz by KO, and Rose Namajunas by KO; while losing to Zhang Weili by TKO. Andrade has been a pro since 2011 and she has seven wins by TKO/KO and seven by submission. She has eight first round finishes.
Rose Namajunas (8-4, 6-3 UFC)
Namajunas came into the UFC with a record of 2-1 and she has six wins and three losses in the UFC. She defeated Angela Hill by standing rear-naked choke submission, Paige VanZant by rear-naked choke submission, Tecia Torres by unanimous decision, Michelle Waterson by rear-naked choke submission, Joanna Jedrzejczyk by TKO, and Joanna Jedrzejczyk by unanimous decision; while losing to Carla Esparza by rear-naked choke submission, Karolina Kowalkiewicz by split decision, and Jessica Andrade by KO. Namajunas has been a pro since 2013 and she has one win by TKO and five by submission. She has three first round finishes.
Strikes landed per minute: Andrade 6.55/ Namajunas 3.95
Striking Accuracy: Andrade 51% / Namajunas 42%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Andrade 5.28/ Namajunas 3.88
Defense: Andrade 51% / Namajunas 59%
Takedown average: Andrade 3.21/ Namajunas 2.17
Takedown Accuracy: Andrade 58% / Namajunas 55%
Takedowns defended: Andrade 76% / Namajunas 46%
Submission average: Andrade 0.5 / Namajunas 0.9
This will be a rematch between Andrade and Namajunas and it will be interesting to see if Namajunas can get payback for the loss she suffered the last time they fought. Oddmakers have Namajunas favored in this fight, but I just can’t see it, as Namajunas has not fought in over a year and she lost against Andrade last time. I am going to take the underdog Andrade to get the win and the rounds to go under the total.
UFC 251 takes place at the UFC Fight Island facility on Sunday, July 12 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates but because of the time difference it will start on Saturday night Eastern Time with five fights on the main pay-per-view card, headlined by Kamaru Usman vs. Jorge Masvidal and eight preliminary bouts, with five on ESPN/ESPN+ and three on UFC Fight Pass/ESPN/ESPN+.
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal Card & Odds
Jorge Masvidal +216 vs. Kamaru Usman -283
Max Holloway +194 vs. Alexander Volkanovski -250
Jose Aldo +179 vs. Petr Yan -230
Paige VanZant +555 vs. Amanda Ribas -925
Jessica Andrade +162 vs. Rose Namajunas -204
Jiri Prochazka +140 vs. Volkan Oezdemir -176
Zhalgas Zhumagulov +150 vs. Raulian Paiva -190
Vanessa Melo +186 vs. Karol Rosa -240
Danny Henry +150 vs. Makwan Amirkhani -190
Roman Bogatov +150 vs. Leonardo Santos -190
Elizeu Zaleski -105 vs. Muslim Salikhov -125
Davey Grant +143 vs. Martin Day -180
Maxim Grishin -106 vs. Marcin Tybura -124
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