Serie A Matchday 31 Odds Report

By  Jonathan Willis

Friday, April 5th, 2019

Serie A Matchday 31 Odds Report

Juventus are just a few matches away from claiming their eighth straight Serie A title. The Old Lady are 18 points ahead of second-place Napoli with eight matches to play, and they have turned the domestic league into a laugher. Instead, the real battle is for the four Champions League spots. Napoli essentially have theirs in hand, but the other two are still up for grabs. Inter Milan are currently on 56 points, with city rivals AC Milan on 52 points, and Atalanta are just behind them with 51 points. Lazio are close with a game in hand too, making this a very interesting race.

Serie A Betting Odds at

April 6

Parma Calcio 1913 SRL +286
FC Torino +104
Draw +232
Over/Under 2 and 2.5

Sampdoria Genoa +179
AS Roma +147
Draw +249
Over/Under 2.5 and 3

Juventus Turin -129
AC Milan +400
Draw +249
Over/Under 2 and 2.5

Torino have picked up a result in 14 of their 15 road matches, but 11 of those have been draws. This is a team adept at grabbing a point on the road, and that option may be undervalued here.

Sampdoria have won four of their last six matches heading into their game with Roma, and a win would launch them right into the thick of things. They are all alone in ninth place with 45 points, and they are just three points back of Lazio, Roma, and Torino. A loss would be devastating for Roma, who replaced Eusebio Di Francesco with Claudio Ranieri a month ago but have seen their fortunes wane with two losses and a draw in their last three matches.

A result of any kind would be huge for AC Milan in their bid to grab a spot in the top four. AC Milan have not finished in the top five of Serie A for five years now, and their long-term absence from the Champions League is having real monetary ramifications. Juventus will be resting Cristiano Ronaldo for at least one more match in a bid to have him healthy for the Champions League.

April 7

SSC Napoli -342
Genoa FC +938
Draw +454
Over/Under 2.5 and 3

Udinese Calcio +132
FC Empoli +221
Draw +226
Over/Under 2 and 2.5

Lazio Roma -262
US Sassuolo +673
Draw +409
Over/Under 3

Inter Milan +108
Atalanta Bergamasca +248
Draw +256
Over/Under 2.5 and 3

ACF Fiorentina -219
Frosinone Calcio +648
Draw +340
Over/Under 2.5

Cagliari Calcio +118
SPAL 2013
Draw +217
Over/Under 2 and 2.5

Napoli have the second-best home record in Serie A with an 11-3-1 mark, while Genoa are just 2-3-9 on the road this season. The Neapolitans suffered a stunning loss at the hands of relegation-threatened Empoli this week, and they will be looking to make amends.

Speaking of Empoli, this club has some of the most stark home/road splits you will see. You would think they played in some far-flung location or at altitude, but instead they play in the heart of Tuscany. Empoli are 7-3-6 at home this season, yet they are a dreadful 0-4-10 on the road. I wouldn’t blame you if you wanted to jump on Udinese with that knowledge.

The match with the biggest ramifications this week isn’t Juventus-AC Milan, but rather Inter Milan-Atalanta. There has been internal dissention in the locker room over the last two months, and it seems likely that both Mauro Icardi and Luciano Spalletti will be out at the end of the year. Atalanta are the highest-scoring team in Serie A and just put up four goals inside of 15 minutes against Bologna last week.

Kudos to Frosinone for giving their chances to avoid relegation a boost with their first home win of the season on Wednesday. Frosinone scored a penalty in the 13th minute of stoppage time to beat Parma. They are still eight points from safety, and any result against Fiorentina would be big.

April 8

Bologna FC -191
AC Chievo Verona +574
Draw +295
Over/Under 2 and 2.5

Bologna needs a win to move out of the relegation zone. They are one point behind Empoli and two behind Udinese, and they are big favorites against last-place Chievo Verona. Anything other than a victory would be an opportunity wasted.

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